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Canada’s Economy Surges Through The Trade War

Canada’s economy rebounded sharply in the second quarter, growing at a 3.3% annualized pace as exports, consumer spending and business investment strengthened despite an escalating trade conflict with the United States.

The second-quarter result was Canada’s strongest growth since 2023 and followed a revised 0.3% annualized expansion in the first quarter, averting the technical recession earlier data had suggested. Exports jumped 3.6%, their strongest gain in more than three years, while final domestic demand rose 1%. Consumer spending increased 0.8% and business investment climbed 2.3%.

The numbers complicate the assumption that Washington’s tariff offensive would quickly buckle the Canadian economy. Canada has been accelerating efforts to diversify trade, investment and supply chains beyond the United States, while domestic spending has also strengthened. The rebound does not eliminate the risks: new U.S. tariffs and Canadian retaliation could still slow growth in coming quarters. But for now, the economy is proving markedly more resilient than expected.

Sources: Reuters
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1

Canada Posts 3.3% Growth As Exports And Demand Rebound

Second-quarter growth was the fastest since 2023, with stronger exports, household spending and business investment showing unexpected resilience amid the U.S. trade war.

Canada Economy
Sources: Reuters
2

U.S. Says Venezuela Oil Deal Covers 65 Billion Barrels

Trump announced a deal under which a new company would develop Venezuelan oil fields with majority U.S. operational control, though major investment and production gains could take years.

Energy
Sources: Associated Press
3

Niger Mutiny Erupts In Capital

Mutinous soldiers attacked the airport and presidential palace in Niamey, exposing fresh fractures inside a military government already struggling with jihadist violence.

West Africa
Sources: Reuters
4

Russian Strike And Warehouse Blast Kill Dozens Near Kyiv

A Russian drone strike triggered a massive detonation at a warehouse in the Kyiv region, killing at least 37 people and prompting an investigation into ammunition storage near homes.

Ukraine
Sources: Reuters
5

Iran’s Economy Buckles Under War And Sanctions

Tehran reports foreign trade down nearly 35% and monthly inflation at 66% as the prolonged conflict and U.S. sanctions intensify pressure on households and the government.

Middle East
Sources: Reuters
6

Nepal Says Flood Rebuilding Could Cost $5 Billion

After catastrophic flooding along the Nepal-China border, Kathmandu says reconstruction could cost as much as a tenth of the country’s economy and is seeking international technical and financial help.

Climate Disaster
Sources: Reuters
7

Iceland Votes On Restarting European Union Talks

Icelanders are deciding whether to reopen EU membership negotiations, with security, sovereignty and fishing rights central to a closely fought referendum.

Europe
Sources: Reuters · Associated Press
8

Norway Mourns King Harald

Norwegians gathered at the royal palace to pay tribute to King Harald as the country enters a new royal era under King Haakon.

Norway
Sources: Reuters
9

Fed Chair Signals U.S. Rate Hikes May Be Needed

Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh warned that inflation remains too high and suggested interest rates may have to rise, jolting bond and currency markets.

U.S. Economy
Sources: Associated Press
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Why It Matters

Canada’s rebound is important not simply because growth beat expectations, but because it comes during an extraordinary effort by Washington to use tariffs as leverage against its closest trading partner. The second-quarter numbers suggest that Canadian households and businesses are adapting, while export growth indicates that trade disruption has not translated into the collapse some feared. Whether the trade war is indirectly accelerating diversification and investment away from the United States will take longer to establish, but the early evidence points to resilience rather than capitulation.

Elsewhere, the day’s news underscores how rapidly the global economic and security order is shifting. Washington is seeking unprecedented influence over Venezuelan oil, Iran is absorbing severe economic damage without yielding, Russia’s war continues to kill civilians in Ukraine, and political instability has erupted again in the Sahel. At the same time, Iceland is reconsidering its place in Europe and the Federal Reserve is warning that inflation may require still tighter money.

Editor’s Source Notes

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